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Red104
234522.4
178544.2
184717.1
Blue115
198425.6
421347.1
931627.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85106204060120140160180104115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.20.1
43.343.4
Auto9.9
Teleop23.7
End10.6
blue by 3.0
47.11.2
45.546.7
Auto14.3
Teleop22.6
End10.2
Second
2345
#19
22.40.1
22.322.4
Auto6.5
Teleop10.9
End5.1
blue by 4.8
9316
#11
27.21.4
26.728.1
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End8.9
Third
1847
#34
17.10.1
16.616.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.4
End6.9
blue by 8.5
1984
#31
25.61.4
24.225.6
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned