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Red76
328421.3
418726.5
591815.2
Blue145
452259.6
306142.9
903127.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691335010015020076145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4187
#15
26.50.1
27.827.6
Auto8.3
Teleop11.0
End7.1
blue by 33.1
59.60.7
51.952.6
Auto15.7
Teleop33.3
End10.1
Second
3284
#20Sur
21.30.1
25.325.2
Auto3.0
Teleop12.7
End5.6
blue by 21.6
3061
#5Sur
42.90.7
36.837.6
Auto11.9
Teleop22.1
End8.9
Third
5918
#23
15.20.2
20.119.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End5.6
blue by 12.7
9031
#17
27.90.7
28.128.8
Auto8.9
Teleop11.0
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed28%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed98%Activation oddsEarned