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Red125
318457.9
306142.9
811221.0
Blue107
452259.6
448019.8
580927.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11311490100110120130140150125107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.91.1
54.655.7
Auto15.7
Teleop33.2
End8.3
blue by 1.6
59.60.5
55.254.7
Auto15.7
Teleop33.3
End10.1
Second
42.91.1
38.439.5
Auto11.9
Teleop22.1
End8.9
red by 15.8
5809
#14
27.10.9
26.725.8
Auto4.6
Teleop16.0
End6.5
Third
8112
#16
21.01.1
15.416.5
Auto3.1
Teleop11.2
End6.7
red by 1.3
4480
#22
19.80.9
23.122.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
58%Sustainability oddsEarned19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsMissed