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Red60
198637.5
591815.2
681720.7
Blue96
545440.5
476647.7
509827.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801162040601001401601806096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.52.2
38.236.0
Auto11.4
Teleop18.2
End7.8
blue by 10.1
47.70.6
43.943.4
Auto13.1
Teleop25.7
End8.8
Second
6817
#24
20.72.2
24.322.1
Auto7.9
Teleop8.3
End4.6
blue by 19.8
5454
#11
40.50.6
32.431.8
Auto9.3
Teleop19.9
End11.3
Third
5918
#23
15.22.2
17.315.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End5.6
blue by 12.2
27.40.6
28.127.6
Auto10.6
Teleop9.1
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned