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Qual 322023 Central Missouri Regional
Red136
331332.4
639136.0
545440.5
Blue99
509827.4
306142.9
181027.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10098608012014016013699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5454
#11
40.52.8
32.2→35.1
Auto9.3
Teleop19.9
End11.3
blue by 2.4
3061
#5
42.90.4
41.0→41.4
Auto11.9
Teleop22.1
End8.9
Second
6391
#13
36.02.8
32.5→35.4
Auto13.9
Teleop16.4
End5.3
red by 8.6
5098
#8
27.40.4
27.6→28.0
Auto10.6
Teleop9.1
End7.7
Third
3313
#6
32.42.8
29.0→31.8
Auto8.4
Teleop17.6
End6.4
red by 5.0
1810
#19
27.40.7
23.9→24.7
Auto10.2
Teleop9.5
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned