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Red113
766214.9
181027.4
476647.7
Blue82
306142.9
596819.6
448019.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9185406010012014016011382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.71.6
44.546.0
Auto13.1
Teleop25.7
End8.8
red by 4.8
42.90.1
41.441.6
Auto11.9
Teleop22.1
End8.9
Second
1810
#19
27.42.4
24.727.1
Auto10.2
Teleop9.5
End7.7
red by 7.6
4480
#22
19.80.2
22.322.5
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End6.3
Third
7662
#12
14.91.6
15.316.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End6.5
blue by 4.6
5968
#27
19.60.2
16.516.7
Auto6.4
Teleop7.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsMissed