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Red71
328421.3
445524.1
181027.4
Blue108
170658.9
811221.0
509827.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7511920406010014016018071108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1810
#19
27.40.9
25.324.5
Auto10.2
Teleop9.5
End7.7
blue by 31.5
58.90.1
57.657.8
Auto16.1
Teleop35.4
End7.2
Second
4455
#18
24.10.9
25.024.1
Auto8.8
Teleop8.1
End7.2
blue by 3.3
27.40.1
27.828.0
Auto10.6
Teleop9.1
End7.7
Third
3284
#20
21.30.7
25.624.9
Auto3.0
Teleop12.7
End5.6
red by 0.2
8112
#16
21.00.1
20.420.5
Auto3.1
Teleop11.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed35%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
72%Activation oddsMissed82%Activation oddsEarned