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Red108
882534.3
591815.2
306142.9
Blue74
193940.9
328421.3
3114.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9883020406012014016010874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.9
42.543.3
Auto11.9
Teleop22.1
End8.9
red by 1.9
40.90.7
42.141.4
Auto7.2
Teleop26.2
End7.5
Second
8825
#10
34.30.9
33.334.2
Auto11.1
Teleop16.6
End6.5
red by 13.0
3284
#20
21.30.7
21.921.2
Auto3.0
Teleop12.7
End5.6
Third
5918
#23
15.20.9
14.315.2
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End5.6
red by 0.4
31
#26
14.80.7
15.514.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsEarned21%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsEarned