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Red157
681720.7
452259.6
170658.9
Blue110
580927.1
318457.9
476647.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14913880100120160180200157110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.60.2
59.259.4
Auto15.7
Teleop33.3
End10.1
red by 1.6
57.90.6
57.557.0
Auto15.7
Teleop33.2
End8.3
Second
58.90.2
58.558.7
Auto16.1
Teleop35.4
End7.2
red by 11.2
47.70.6
47.246.7
Auto13.1
Teleop25.7
End8.8
Third
6817
#24
20.70.2
20.420.6
Auto7.9
Teleop8.3
End4.6
blue by 6.3
5809
#14
27.10.6
26.626.1
Auto4.6
Teleop16.0
End6.5