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Red138
476647.7
318457.9
580927.1
Blue138
545440.5
181027.4
172317.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1517150100200138138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.90.1
57.857.7
Auto15.7
Teleop33.2
End8.3
red by 17.5
5454
#11
40.50.9
37.738.6
Auto9.3
Teleop19.9
End11.3
Second
47.70.1
47.547.4
Auto13.1
Teleop25.7
End8.8
red by 20.3
1810
#19
27.40.9
24.625.5
Auto10.2
Teleop9.5
End7.7
Third
5809
#14
27.10.1
26.926.8
Auto4.6
Teleop16.0
End6.5
red by 9.6
1723
#25
17.50.9
14.715.6
Auto6.2
Teleop6.9
End4.5