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Red128
476647.7
318457.9
580927.1
Blue115
306142.9
199722.2
193940.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14411250100200128115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.90.2
57.757.5
Auto15.7
Teleop33.2
End8.3
red by 15.1
42.90.1
43.944.0
Auto11.9
Teleop22.1
End8.9
Second
47.70.2
47.447.2
Auto13.1
Teleop25.7
End8.8
red by 6.7
40.90.1
42.042.1
Auto7.2
Teleop26.2
End7.5
Third
5809
#14
27.10.2
26.826.6
Auto4.6
Teleop16.0
End6.5
red by 4.9
1997
#21
22.20.1
23.223.4
Auto2.1
Teleop13.2
End6.9