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Red135
682326.1
414352.5
170648.8
Blue145
220246.5
175653.2
517624.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133132110120140150160135145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.50.3
51.251.4
Auto12.9
Teleop31.3
End8.3
blue by 0.7
53.20.4
53.153.5
Auto12.8
Teleop33.1
End7.2
Second
48.80.3
47.547.7
Auto13.1
Teleop28.5
End7.2
red by 2.3
46.50.4
46.446.8
Auto14.2
Teleop22.1
End10.1
Third
6823
#17
26.10.3
25.926.1
Auto6.1
Teleop12.1
End7.9
red by 1.7
5176
#15
24.40.4
24.424.8
Auto6.9
Teleop9.2
End8.4