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Red153
642032.6
414352.5
170648.8
Blue120
220246.5
175653.2
517624.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142131100120160180200220153120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.50.5
51.952.5
Auto12.9
Teleop31.3
End8.3
blue by 0.7
53.20.1
53.353.2
Auto12.8
Teleop33.1
End7.2
Second
48.80.5
48.348.8
Auto13.1
Teleop28.5
End7.2
red by 2.3
46.50.1
46.646.5
Auto14.2
Teleop22.1
End10.1
Third
6420
#19
32.60.6
32.032.6
Auto5.0
Teleop19.8
End7.8
red by 8.1
5176
#15
24.40.1
24.624.4
Auto6.9
Teleop9.2
End8.4