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Qual 122023 St. Louis Regional
Red118
175653.2
450032.3
423215.0
Blue63
506022.9
125925.1
807716.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80630204010012014016011863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#8
53.25.0
32.5→37.6
Auto12.8
Teleop33.1
End7.2
red by 28.1
1259
#21
25.11.7
21.6→20.0
Auto7.2
Teleop10.9
End6.9
Second
4500
#9
32.35.0
21.7→26.7
Auto8.8
Teleop17.5
End6.0
red by 9.4
5060
#26
22.91.7
17.4→15.8
Auto7.8
Teleop9.5
End5.7
Third
4232
#39
15.05.0
18.7→23.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.1
End3.1
blue by 1.6
8077
#32
16.61.7
21.8→20.1
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsEarned