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Qual 142023 St. Louis Regional
Red97
711714.7
414352.5
774725.2
Blue66
433034.0
432935.8
120821.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726501001502002503003509766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#3
52.53.4
32.2→35.5
Auto12.9
Teleop31.3
End8.3
red by 16.6
4329
#16
35.80.4
24.8→25.2
Auto12.2
Teleop16.4
End7.2
Second
7747
#7
25.23.4
18.1→21.5
Auto5.9
Teleop14.3
End5.0
blue by 8.8
4330
#18
34.00.4
18.3→18.7
Auto13.7
Teleop13.9
End6.5
Third
7117
#28
14.73.4
16.3→19.7
Auto6.0
Teleop2.8
End5.9
blue by 7.2
1208
#22
21.90.4
19.0→19.4
Auto7.3
Teleop7.7
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsMissed