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Qual 22023 St. Louis Regional
Red78
206226.1
745212.9
133942.3
Blue80
220246.5
558312.8
96731.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757140506080901001107880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1339
#12
42.30.9
32.2→33.1
Auto11.4
Teleop22.8
End8.2
blue by 4.1
2202
#1
46.50.8
28.9→29.7
Auto14.2
Teleop22.1
End10.1
Second
2062
#25
26.10.9
21.0→21.9
Auto4.9
Teleop14.3
End6.9
blue by 5.7
967
#10
31.80.8
22.2→23.1
Auto8.5
Teleop18.9
End4.4
Third
7452
#40
12.90.9
16.7→17.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End5.1
red by 0.1
5583
#38
12.80.8
16.3→17.2
Auto1.9
Teleop5.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsEarned