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Qual 202023 St. Louis Regional
Red46
24086.9
120821.9
175653.2
Blue67
206226.1
198221.5
3416.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766220401001204667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#8
53.22.6
37.6→34.9
Auto12.8
Teleop33.1
End7.2
red by 27.1
2062
#25
26.10.8
23.9→24.7
Auto4.9
Teleop14.3
End6.9
Second
1208
#22
21.92.6
19.4→16.8
Auto7.3
Teleop7.7
End6.8
red by 0.3
1982
#24
21.50.8
20.5→21.4
Auto8.5
Teleop8.5
End4.5
Third
2408
#42
6.92.6
12.4→9.8
Auto1.0
Teleop1.5
End4.3
blue by 9.3
34
#30
16.10.8
15.3→16.1
Auto2.9
Teleop8.0
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed29%Activation oddsEarned