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Qual 252023 St. Louis Regional
Red67
87199.2
220246.5
74967.8
Blue83
806915.4
175653.2
3416.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67730204060801001201406783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#1
46.50.4
38.0→38.4
Auto14.2
Teleop22.1
End10.1
blue by 6.7
1756
#8
53.21.7
34.9→36.6
Auto12.8
Teleop33.1
End7.2
Second
8719
#34
9.20.4
14.9→15.3
Auto1.9
Teleop5.1
End2.2
blue by 7.0
34
#30
16.11.7
16.1→17.7
Auto2.9
Teleop8.0
End5.2
Third
7496
#41
7.80.4
10.5→10.9
Auto2.0
Teleop2.3
End3.5
blue by 7.6
8069
#31
15.41.7
17.0→18.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsMissed