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Qual 272023 St. Louis Regional
Red71
198221.5
747219.9
432935.8
Blue70
558312.8
433034.0
379219.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745902040801001207170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
#16
35.80.4
23.8→24.2
Auto12.2
Teleop16.4
End7.2
red by 1.8
4330
#18
34.01.5
20.7→22.2
Auto13.7
Teleop13.9
End6.5
Second
1982
#24
21.50.4
21.4→21.8
Auto8.5
Teleop8.5
End4.5
red by 1.8
3792
#33
19.71.5
16.6→18.1
Auto6.7
Teleop6.3
End6.7
Third
7472
#23
19.90.4
21.9→22.4
Auto6.5
Teleop7.6
End5.8
red by 7.1
5583
#38
12.81.5
19.6→21.0
Auto1.9
Teleop5.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned34%Activation oddsEarned