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Red128
170648.8
642032.6
133942.3
Blue39
517624.4
93130.8
339713.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions975302040608012014012839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.84.1
33.437.5
Auto13.1
Teleop28.5
End7.2
red by 18.0
931
#11
30.81.8
21.719.8
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End7.5
Second
1339
#12
42.34.1
33.237.3
Auto11.4
Teleop22.8
End8.2
red by 17.9
5176
#15
24.41.8
20.718.8
Auto6.9
Teleop9.2
End8.4
Third
6420
#19
32.64.1
19.223.3
Auto5.0
Teleop19.8
End7.8
red by 19.5
3397
#37
13.11.8
13.211.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsMissed