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Red46
297815.6
806915.4
558312.8
Blue128
133942.3
93130.8
639129.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions629220408010012014046128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2978
#29
15.61.8
22.320.6
Auto3.1
Teleop5.8
End6.8
blue by 26.7
1339
#12
42.35.0
37.342.4
Auto11.4
Teleop22.8
End8.2
Second
8069
#31
15.41.8
18.616.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End5.0
blue by 15.4
931
#11
30.85.0
19.824.9
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End7.5
Third
5583
#38
12.81.8
21.019.3
Auto1.9
Teleop5.4
End5.5
blue by 16.9
6391
#20
29.85.0
25.530.5
Auto9.3
Teleop15.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
50%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsEarned