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Red69
379219.7
506022.9
674431.1
Blue74
120821.9
517624.4
425634.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566802040801001206974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6744
#14
31.11.7
18.420.1
Auto6.8
Teleop17.7
End6.6
blue by 3.8
34.91.3
27.528.8
Auto9.4
Teleop19.3
End6.3
Second
5060
#26
22.91.7
17.419.1
Auto7.8
Teleop9.5
End5.7
blue by 1.6
5176
#15
24.41.3
18.820.2
Auto6.9
Teleop9.2
End8.4
Third
3792
#33
19.71.7
18.119.7
Auto6.7
Teleop6.3
End6.7
blue by 2.1
1208
#22
21.91.3
15.917.2
Auto7.3
Teleop7.7
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsEarned