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Qual 462023 St. Louis Regional
Red84
432935.8
558312.8
642032.6
Blue88
903128.9
506022.9
220246.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73944060801001201408488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
#16
35.81.4
28.2→29.7
Auto12.2
Teleop16.4
End7.2
blue by 10.6
2202
#1
46.50.3
43.6→43.9
Auto14.2
Teleop22.1
End10.1
Second
6420
#19
32.61.4
25.9→27.3
Auto5.0
Teleop19.8
End7.8
red by 3.7
9031
#4
28.90.3
24.3→24.6
Auto8.3
Teleop13.3
End7.3
Third
5583
#38
12.81.4
16.9→18.3
Auto1.9
Teleop5.4
End5.5
blue by 10.1
5060
#26
22.90.3
17.3→17.6
Auto7.8
Teleop9.5
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned