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Qual 522023 St. Louis Regional
Red101
198221.5
642032.6
639129.8
Blue112
175653.2
379219.7
774725.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86824060100120101112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6420
#19
32.61.2
27.3→28.5
Auto5.0
Teleop19.8
End7.8
blue by 20.6
1756
#8
53.23.1
43.2→46.2
Auto12.8
Teleop33.1
End7.2
Second
6391
#20
29.81.1
28.3→29.3
Auto9.3
Teleop15.3
End5.2
red by 4.6
7747
#7
25.23.1
17.6→20.6
Auto5.9
Teleop14.3
End5.0
Third
1982
#24
21.51.1
25.0→26.1
Auto8.5
Teleop8.5
End4.5
red by 1.8
3792
#33
19.73.1
16.8→19.9
Auto6.7
Teleop6.3
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned33%Activation oddsEarned