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Red94
125925.1
120821.9
93130.8
Blue24
807716.6
74967.8
70636.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67602030405080901009424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#11
30.82.8
23.526.3
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End7.5
blue by 5.2
706
#5
36.13.4
30.927.5
Auto9.9
Teleop21.7
End4.4
Second
1259
#21
25.12.8
23.326.1
Auto7.2
Teleop10.9
End6.9
red by 8.5
8077
#32
16.63.6
17.213.5
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End5.1
Third
1208
#22
21.92.8
15.017.8
Auto7.3
Teleop7.7
End6.8
red by 14.1
7496
#41
7.83.4
8.85.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsMissed