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Qual 582023 St. Louis Regional
Red107
414352.5
206226.1
506022.9
Blue73
170648.8
379219.7
747219.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions898860708010011012013010773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#3
52.52.5
42.8→45.3
Auto12.9
Teleop31.3
End8.3
red by 3.7
1706
#2
48.80.9
43.4→42.5
Auto13.1
Teleop28.5
End7.2
Second
2062
#25
26.12.5
20.5→23.0
Auto4.9
Teleop14.3
End6.9
red by 6.2
7472
#23
19.91.0
19.3→18.3
Auto6.5
Teleop7.6
End5.8
Third
5060
#26
22.92.3
19.9→22.2
Auto7.8
Teleop9.5
End5.7
red by 3.1
3792
#33
19.70.9
19.9→19.0
Auto6.7
Teleop6.3
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsMissed