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Red46
441813.7
806915.4
425634.9
Blue67
774725.2
747219.9
120821.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695201001502004667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.91.9
24.222.4
Auto9.4
Teleop19.3
End6.3
red by 9.8
25.21.7
16.418.1
Auto5.9
Teleop14.3
End5.0
Second
8069
#31
15.41.9
18.816.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End5.0
blue by 6.4
1208
#22
21.91.7
17.319.0
Auto7.3
Teleop7.7
End6.8
Third
4418
#36
13.71.9
19.717.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.2
End2.8
blue by 6.2
7472
#23
19.91.7
17.619.4
Auto6.5
Teleop7.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsMissed37%Activation oddsEarned