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Red85
220246.5
120821.9
3416.1
Blue56
339713.1
711714.7
450032.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8560020401001201408556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.8
44.044.8
Auto14.2
Teleop22.1
End10.1
red by 14.2
32.30.3
36.336.0
Auto8.8
Teleop17.5
End6.0
Second
1208
#22
21.90.8
17.818.6
Auto7.3
Teleop7.7
End6.8
red by 7.2
7117
#28
14.70.4
14.514.1
Auto6.0
Teleop2.8
End5.9
Third
34
#30
16.10.8
14.815.6
Auto2.9
Teleop8.0
End5.2
red by 3.0
3397
#37
13.10.3
8.88.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned33%Activation oddsEarned