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Red54
558312.8
441813.7
517624.4
Blue101
74967.8
339713.1
175653.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586530405070809010054101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5176
#15
24.40.1
23.923.8
Auto6.9
Teleop9.2
End8.4
blue by 28.7
53.23.7
48.151.8
Auto12.8
Teleop33.1
End7.2
Second
4418
#36
13.70.1
14.814.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.2
End2.8
red by 0.6
3397
#37
13.13.7
8.512.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End4.0
Third
5583
#38
12.80.1
16.816.6
Auto1.9
Teleop5.4
End5.5
red by 5.0
7496
#41
7.83.7
3.36.9
Auto2.0
Teleop2.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsMissed