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Red110
93130.8
128821.3
70636.1
Blue88
432935.8
807716.6
379219.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94702040608012014016011088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
706
#5
36.11.6
34.636.3
Auto9.9
Teleop21.7
End4.4
red by 0.2
4329
#16
35.81.1
35.136.2
Auto12.2
Teleop16.4
End7.2
Second
931
#11
30.81.6
29.931.5
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End7.5
red by 11.1
3792
#33
19.71.1
18.619.7
Auto6.7
Teleop6.3
End6.7
Third
1288
#27
21.31.6
20.422.0
Auto4.8
Teleop11.7
End4.8
red by 4.7
8077
#32
16.61.2
15.416.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned