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Qual 782023 St. Louis Regional
Red121
133942.3
414352.5
339713.1
Blue126
747219.9
682326.1
175653.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121016080120140160180121126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#3
52.51.0
49.9→50.8
Auto12.9
Teleop31.3
End8.3
blue by 0.7
1756
#8
53.20.6
51.8→52.4
Auto12.8
Teleop33.1
End7.2
Second
1339
#12
42.31.0
42.0→43.0
Auto11.4
Teleop22.8
End8.2
red by 16.2
6823
#17
26.10.6
24.7→25.3
Auto6.1
Teleop12.1
End7.9
Third
3397
#37
13.11.0
12.1→13.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End4.0
blue by 6.8
7472
#23
19.90.6
19.9→20.5
Auto6.5
Teleop7.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsEarned11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsMissed43%Activation oddsEarned