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Red132
164043.5
901537.5
249547.4
Blue134
428530.0
139161.2
902731.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134129100120140160132134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2495
#42
47.40.5
46.947.3
Auto11.1
Teleop27.5
End8.2
blue by 13.8
61.20.8
59.860.7
Auto16.3
Teleop32.8
End11.1
Second
1640
#41
43.50.5
43.143.5
Auto13.6
Teleop23.3
End6.2
red by 12.1
9027
#29
31.40.8
31.932.8
Auto10.0
Teleop13.3
End8.2
Third
9015
#28
37.50.5
36.436.8
Auto11.6
Teleop18.8
End7.2
red by 7.5
4285
#47
30.00.8
29.730.5
Auto8.0
Teleop17.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
77%Sustainability oddsEarned78%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsEarned