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Red146
83452.6
7533.4
331460.5
Blue129
121851.5
36540.6
314241.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15414180100120180200146129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.50.2
59.459.6
Auto13.1
Teleop38.7
End8.8
red by 9.1
1218
#13
51.50.3
51.951.6
Auto15.1
Teleop27.9
End7.6
Second
834
#5
52.60.2
52.452.6
Auto13.3
Teleop30.3
End7.7
red by 11.2
3142
#22
41.50.3
40.340.0
Auto10.3
Teleop22.4
End9.0
Third
75
#36
33.40.2
32.833.0
Auto11.5
Teleop16.4
End5.2
blue by 7.2
365
#55
40.60.3
41.741.4
Auto12.1
Teleop23.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsEarned88%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned