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Red139
192360.1
909433.6
70842.2
Blue115
363733.2
704542.6
164043.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14712380100160180200220139115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#19
60.10.3
59.159.4
Auto12.6
Teleop37.7
End9.8
red by 16.6
1640
#41
43.50.2
43.543.3
Auto13.6
Teleop23.3
End6.2
Second
708
#33
42.20.3
42.142.4
Auto10.8
Teleop22.4
End8.6
blue by 0.4
7045
#18
42.60.2
42.842.6
Auto11.4
Teleop23.6
End7.1
Third
9094
#31
33.60.3
33.333.6
Auto10.2
Teleop17.6
End5.7
red by 0.4
3637
#48
33.20.2
33.433.2
Auto9.5
Teleop20.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned66%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsEarned