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Red126
108935.4
171240.7
22241.9
Blue114
901419.0
1153.1
218029.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1321006080120140160180200126114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#15
41.90.2
43.142.9
Auto8.1
Teleop27.3
End6.0
blue by 11.2
11
#14
53.10.7
51.352.0
Auto16.4
Teleop27.9
End8.0
Second
1712
#21
40.70.2
41.040.7
Auto6.4
Teleop25.2
End9.3
red by 11.5
2180
#44
29.20.7
28.529.2
Auto9.3
Teleop11.7
End8.3
Third
1089
#43
35.40.2
35.635.4
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End8.3
red by 16.3
9014
#58
19.00.7
18.319.0
Auto7.6
Teleop5.3
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
53%Sustainability oddsEarned30%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned