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Red136
167650.9
32142.5
249547.4
Blue109
36540.6
29336.7
5625.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14910650200136109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#25
50.90.1
49.749.8
Auto13.5
Teleop29.5
End7.0
red by 10.2
365
#55
40.60.7
41.440.6
Auto12.1
Teleop23.9
End4.7
Second
2495
#42
47.40.1
47.347.4
Auto11.1
Teleop27.5
End8.2
red by 10.8
293
#20
36.70.7
37.436.7
Auto9.7
Teleop22.0
End4.7
Third
321
#37
42.50.1
42.442.5
Auto13.4
Teleop22.1
End6.5
red by 16.8
56
#51
25.70.7
26.425.7
Auto6.6
Teleop12.4
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
81%Sustainability oddsEarned46%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsMissed