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Red156
249547.4
428530.0
704542.6
Blue99
272229.9
314241.5
43327.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133935015020015699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2495
#42
47.40.8
47.948.7
Auto11.1
Teleop27.5
End8.2
red by 6.0
3142
#22
41.50.1
38.038.2
Auto10.3
Teleop22.4
End9.0
Second
7045
#18
42.60.8
40.541.4
Auto11.4
Teleop23.6
End7.1
red by 12.7
2722
#46
29.90.1
31.831.9
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End5.8
Third
4285
#47
30.00.8
31.432.2
Auto8.0
Teleop17.3
End4.9
red by 2.4
433
#49
27.70.1
22.222.3
Auto7.8
Teleop13.1
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsEarned19%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned