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Red108
272229.9
363733.2
180753.9
Blue94
70842.2
689737.8
32142.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132128608010012014016018010894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1807
#16
53.92.0
57.255.1
Auto11.2
Teleop34.5
End6.9
red by 11.4
321
#37
42.51.8
43.842.0
Auto13.4
Teleop22.1
End6.5
Second
3637
#48
33.22.0
34.532.5
Auto9.5
Teleop20.1
End3.4
blue by 9.0
708
#33
42.21.8
38.436.6
Auto10.8
Teleop22.4
End8.6
Third
2722
#46
29.92.0
31.929.9
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End5.8
blue by 7.9
6897
#35
37.81.8
38.736.9
Auto9.0
Teleop23.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
60%Sustainability oddsMissed54%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
88%Activation oddsMissed62%Activation oddsMissed