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Red156
253965.1
181238.3
689737.8
Blue134
314241.5
31654.6
55535.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15212550100200250156134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.10.8
62.062.7
Auto15.5
Teleop39.2
End9.7
red by 10.5
316
#12
54.60.9
51.952.7
Auto11.2
Teleop32.8
End10.0
Second
1812
#17
38.30.8
40.641.4
Auto13.9
Teleop17.2
End7.4
blue by 3.2
3142
#22
41.50.9
39.540.3
Auto10.3
Teleop22.4
End9.0
Third
6897
#35
37.80.8
36.937.7
Auto9.0
Teleop23.3
End4.9
red by 2.6
555
#32
35.20.9
29.730.5
Auto10.2
Teleop16.6
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
91%Sustainability oddsEarned65%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned