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Red129
22241.9
48448.2
10353.8
Blue125
164043.5
171240.7
457332.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14310650200129125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#1
53.80.0
49.049.0
Auto11.1
Teleop35.1
End7.1
red by 10.3
1640
#41
43.51.4
43.144.5
Auto13.6
Teleop23.3
End6.2
Second
484
#24
48.20.0
38.938.9
Auto12.3
Teleop27.8
End7.8
red by 7.5
1712
#21
40.71.4
31.933.3
Auto6.4
Teleop25.2
End9.3
Third
222
#15
41.90.0
43.042.9
Auto8.1
Teleop27.3
End6.0
red by 9.3
4573
#45
32.61.4
28.830.2
Auto8.9
Teleop18.3
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
69%Sustainability oddsEarned40%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsEarned