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Red120
181238.3
31654.6
7533.4
Blue126
140354.8
48628.4
164043.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136137100120160180120126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#12
54.60.8
52.751.9
Auto11.2
Teleop32.8
End10.0
blue by 0.2
1403
#11
54.80.8
53.252.4
Auto10.4
Teleop32.9
End10.0
Second
1812
#17
38.30.8
41.440.5
Auto13.9
Teleop17.2
End7.4
blue by 5.3
1640
#41
43.50.8
44.543.7
Auto13.6
Teleop23.3
End6.2
Third
75
#36
33.40.8
33.532.6
Auto11.5
Teleop16.4
End5.2
red by 5.0
486
#52
28.40.8
33.232.4
Auto8.6
Teleop14.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
57%Sustainability oddsEarned79%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
97%Activation oddsMissed77%Activation oddsMissed