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Red104
36540.6
30320.3
70842.2
Blue122
22333.8
811736.9
55535.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108102050150200104122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#33
42.20.1
37.837.7
Auto10.8
Teleop22.4
End8.6
red by 5.3
8117
#34
36.91.4
31.733.0
Auto8.4
Teleop19.5
End9.1
Second
365
#55
40.60.1
40.140.0
Auto12.1
Teleop23.9
End4.7
red by 5.4
555
#32
35.21.4
30.531.9
Auto10.2
Teleop16.6
End8.5
Third
303
#57
20.30.1
22.622.5
Auto6.2
Teleop8.7
End5.5
blue by 13.5
223
#53
33.81.4
33.835.1
Auto10.2
Teleop17.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
38%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsMissed65%Activation oddsEarned