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Red136
437353.0
272229.9
167650.9
Blue155
34162.4
19333.5
331460.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1341646080100120180200220136155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4373
#23
53.00.2
49.849.6
Auto17.4
Teleop27.4
End7.6
blue by 9.4
341
#4
62.40.3
59.760.0
Auto13.7
Teleop36.8
End10.4
Second
1676
#25
50.90.2
49.649.3
Auto13.5
Teleop29.5
End7.0
blue by 9.7
60.50.3
58.558.8
Auto13.1
Teleop38.7
End8.8
Third
2722
#46
29.90.2
30.029.8
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End5.8
blue by 3.6
193
#40
33.50.3
32.032.3
Auto12.8
Teleop15.0
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsEarned93%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsMissed92%Activation oddsEarned