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Red104
181238.3
22241.9
5625.7
Blue117
811736.9
902731.4
436139.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211106080100140160180104117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#15
41.90.5
43.943.4
Auto8.1
Teleop27.3
End6.0
red by 2.8
4361
#39
39.10.8
42.843.6
Auto13.3
Teleop18.6
End7.2
Second
1812
#17
38.30.5
40.540.0
Auto13.9
Teleop17.2
End7.4
red by 1.4
8117
#34
36.90.8
33.033.9
Auto8.4
Teleop19.5
End9.1
Third
56
#51
25.70.5
27.426.9
Auto6.6
Teleop12.4
End6.7
blue by 5.7
9027
#29
31.40.8
29.029.8
Auto10.0
Teleop13.3
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
62%Sustainability oddsMissed32%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned