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Red125
303947.2
433651.2
375312.9
Blue105
191225.0
395927.4
36430.2
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124814060100140160180125105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.20.2
51.051.2
Auto13.3
Teleop28.9
End9.0
red by 21.1
364
#23
30.20.4
29.830.2
Auto8.7
Teleop15.3
End6.1
Second
47.20.2
47.047.2
Auto14.5
Teleop26.1
End6.6
red by 19.8
3959
#13
27.40.4
27.027.4
Auto8.8
Teleop11.0
End7.6
Third
3753
#21
12.90.2
12.612.9
Auto3.3
Teleop7.5
End2.0
blue by 12.1
1912
#14
25.00.4
24.625.0
Auto7.6
Teleop9.1
End8.3