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Qual 152023 Magnolia Regional
Red95
218329.7
222112.6
142131.8
Blue78
433651.2
747410.4
709419.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53870204060801001201409578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1421
#6
31.84.0
23.2→27.1
Auto14.6
Teleop10.4
End6.7
blue by 19.5
4336
#3
51.20.0
39.0→39.0
Auto13.3
Teleop28.9
End9.0
Second
2183
#8
29.74.0
16.9→20.9
Auto6.4
Teleop15.8
End7.4
red by 10.4
7094
#20
19.20.1
20.1→20.2
Auto8.0
Teleop7.1
End4.1
Third
2221
#18
12.64.0
14.3→18.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End4.4
red by 2.2
7474
#25
10.40.1
18.3→18.4
Auto2.3
Teleop2.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
23%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsMissed