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Red50
873211.8
192717.7
11851.1
Blue38
408727.1
804414.9
395927.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89790501001505038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#4
51.12.2
50.448.3
Auto17.4
Teleop25.6
End8.0
red by 23.7
3959
#13
27.44.2
25.821.7
Auto8.8
Teleop11.0
End7.6
Second
1927
#15
17.73.6
19.616.0
Auto7.1
Teleop4.8
End5.7
blue by 9.5
27.14.2
27.823.7
Auto6.9
Teleop12.5
End7.8
Third
8732
#27
11.83.6
12.38.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End3.2
blue by 3.1
8044
#26
14.94.2
21.717.6
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsMissed