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Red80
742822.0
218329.7
361626.4
Blue99
303947.2
375312.9
299237.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions538502040601001201408099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.72.9
20.923.8
Auto6.4
Teleop15.8
End7.4
blue by 17.6
47.21.5
35.036.5
Auto14.5
Teleop26.1
End6.6
Second
3616
#12
26.42.9
17.420.3
Auto7.2
Teleop12.8
End6.5
blue by 11.5
37.92.6
28.831.4
Auto10.5
Teleop20.5
End6.9
Third
22.02.9
15.418.3
Auto7.2
Teleop9.4
End5.4
red by 9.1
3753
#21
12.92.6
12.314.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsEarned