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Red43
50459.5
804414.9
45622.5
Blue109
191225.0
433651.2
395927.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions508602040608010012014043109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#16
22.50.9
21.020.0
Auto4.2
Teleop9.7
End8.6
blue by 28.8
51.22.2
40.042.2
Auto13.3
Teleop28.9
End9.0
Second
8044
#26
14.90.9
17.616.7
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End5.6
blue by 12.5
3959
#13
27.43.6
21.725.3
Auto8.8
Teleop11.0
End7.6
Third
5045
#28
9.50.9
12.711.8
Auto3.2
Teleop1.5
End4.8
blue by 15.5
1912
#14
25.03.6
14.718.3
Auto7.6
Teleop9.1
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
23%Activation oddsEarned50%Activation oddsEarned