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Qual 242023 Magnolia Regional
Red101
36430.2
59012.4
303947.2
Blue130
880830.3
361626.4
299237.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85784060100120101130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#1
47.21.5
36.5→37.9
Auto14.5
Teleop26.1
End6.6
red by 9.3
2992
#2
37.93.0
31.4→34.4
Auto10.5
Teleop20.5
End6.9
Second
364
#23
30.22.4
27.8→30.3
Auto8.7
Teleop15.3
End6.1
blue by 0.1
8808
#5
30.33.0
22.2→25.2
Auto8.7
Teleop12.2
End9.4
Third
590
#22
12.42.4
14.7→17.1
Auto4.5
Teleop2.3
End5.7
blue by 14.0
3616
#12
26.43.0
20.3→23.3
Auto7.2
Teleop12.8
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsEarned